New telepathy test: which number did I write?

[wstein]

FYI: this is a remote viewing test, not a telepathy test

[Dee47]

I did it just now and got "2."

[sunsoul]

Originally Posted by wstein

FYI: this is a remote viewing test, not a telepathy test

I am not so sure... We don't even know if the paper still exists. Personally, I zoomed in on the intent and thought waves rather than any physical object/paper.

[Clover]

So what's the numba',spill the beans! :

[bay9514]

Im sort of thinking 3

[innocentwanderer]

I got the 2

[Michel H]

Originally Posted by Michel H

Hi, I invite you to participate in a telepathy test (again).

At about 7:58 p.m. on this Friday April 11 (Brussels, Belgium time), I wrote carefully one of the four numbers: "1", "2", "3", "4" on my sheet of paper, and I surrounded it with a circle. Then, I wrote it again twice.

I shall repeat this number from time to time during this test.

I ask you to write it here (if you think you know it, even with a doubt). You may also answer "I don't know".

So, your answer should be one of the four numbers: "1", "2", "3", "4", or "I don't know".

I would also appreciate a little comment.

Thank you for participating.

Thank you for your answers.
The number I wrote was a "2".
There were 11 valid answers, 5 (=45 %) of which were (numerically) correct, the answers by BlueClover, Dream Angel, loveyduck, Dee47, and innocentwanderer.
loveyduck answered correctly in both this test, and in the previous (and first) one.
The two moderators who participated in this test (BlueClover and Dream Angel) both answered the correct number. They were also the first who gave the correct answer.
To try to go a little further in the analysis, I shall now give, for each answer, a "credibility rating" (CR, between -10 and 10), and also a "quality rating" (QR, between 0 and 100).
1) Lilyth Von Gore answered:

Originally Posted by Lilyth Von Gore

I'm getting the number three.
Is that correct?

If you don't mind my saying, this test leaves a lot of room for guess work.

A rather critical answer.
CR=-4, QR=65
2) Hope33 answered:

Originally Posted by Hope33

I'm also getting "3"....

Seems influenced by the previous, aggressive, answerer, commenting is minimum.
CR=-1, QR=50
3) BlueClover answered:

Originally Posted by BlueClover

oooh these are fun.


I am going to say 2

A positive comment.
CR=7, QR=80
4) Olivia13 answered:

Originally Posted by Olivia13

I'm getting the 4.

Thanks for the fun test!

A positive comment (which, however, doesn't sound very scientific, with its exclamation mark).
CR=5, QR=40
5) Dream Angel answered:

Originally Posted by Dream Angel

I asked for a little help with this, my pendulum and I .... say #2

The allusion to a pendulum here is not welcome. However, this responder did not say his/her number was given by the pendulum only, and he/she is a moderator, a person of authority.
CR=1, QR=70
6) Kamila said:

Originally Posted by Kamila

I got number 3

I find the smile, with its "teeth", a little aggressive, comment is minimum.
CR=2, QR=40
7)

Originally Posted by loveyduck

:)

Im gonna go with 2

Answers with a smile, comment minimum, good name.
CR=7, QR=80
8)

Originally Posted by sunsoul

The number three.

And, I have predicted your next number.

I don't think he/she could have predicted my next number.
CR=-5, QR=65
9)

Originally Posted by Dee47

I did it just now and got "2."

This is an answer that I find interesting. It was posted at 2:12 pm on Saturday April 12 (Belgium time), about 38 minutes after I had "repeated" the number by writing it down and circling it again, for the first time after a night of sleep. I had written the number before at 2:34 am, before going to bed. Dee47's sentence seems to reflect what I had just done.
CR=7, QR=80
10)

Originally Posted by bay9514

Im sort of thinking 3

This responder is not too sure, perhaps a little embarrassed.
CR=2, QR=40
11)

Originally Posted by innocentwanderer

I got the 2

This answer was posted about two weeks after the previous one, by bay9514, at a time when I was thinking about this forum more than usual. The name ("innocent") is not bad, very limited comment (but this answer came much later than the others).
CR=7, QR=80

So, there were 8 credible answers (answers with positive credibilities), and the hit rate for these answers is 5/8 = 62.5%, which is much higher than the (approximately) 25% from chance alone. Note, however, that this "credibility analysis" is not entirely rigorous, because I assigned credibilities while knowing if the answers were (numerically) correct or not.

[Faith33]

For the record, I wasn't influenced by my above poster...I got it wrong all on my own:))

Oh That's nice

[mArIya]

I just saw this post by chance

Thats good because i clearly got a picture in my mind - i saw you write the number 2 on a piece of paper so i went with it