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Why? What are the differences and why would they alter the probabilities at all?
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Differences = Dreams are limited to the mind and internal perceptions, whereas AP is opened to external influences...like spirits rather than figments of a persons subconscious imagination.
Difference between conscious and unconscious AP = The state of the mind during unconscious AP is more difficult to manipulate and trace the Vibe of the Projector to their body in order to commence Reverse AP.
A conscious Astral Projector is easier to track and manipulate because all of their cognitive functions are active as well as the fact that their instinctual responses take a back seat in their mind.
The probability of Reverse AP depends on timing, the individual in question and the state of your own mind and strength in relation to that persons willpower.
There are other factors that effect it, but I don't feel that it's necessary to complicate things more.
This is all just from my experience and perceptions, so I don't expect to be understood completely in regards to this.